Climatic Characteristics of Modes of the Stable Transition of Air Temperature Through Key Bounds in the South of Western Siberia
https://doi.org/10.15356/0373-2444-2015-1-87-97
Abstract
The article presents the methodological approaches and results of the assessment of characteristics of modes of stable transition of average daily temperature through 0, 5, 10, 15°C in the south of Western Siberia. Correlations of these characteristics with macrocirculation conditions and with productivity of cereal crops are shown. The estimation of tendencies of variability of the specifi ed characteristics is carried out. Study is important due to evident climate change in the territory, as well as due to lack of available accurate methods of prediction of the consequences of these changes for economy and human activities. Our methods of evaluating climatic conditions (analysis of atmosphere circulation, statistics of transition of air temperature through key bounds) can be applied to weather forecast as well as to estimation of expected crop yields in the region. Early evaluation of weather trends in spring must be used in decision making while developing the agronomic strategy for the growing season.
About the Authors
N. K. Barashkova
Tomsk State University
Russian Federation
Tomsk
Russian Federation
Tomsk
I. V. Kuzhevskaya
Tomsk State University
Russian Federation
Tomsk
Russian Federation
Tomsk
O. V. Nosyreva
Tomsk State University
Russian Federation
Tomsk
Russian Federation
Tomsk
References
1. Anisimov O.A., Beloluckaja M.A., and Lobanov V.A. The modern climate changes in the area of high latitudes of the northern hemisphere, Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 2003, no. 1, pp. 18–30. (In Russ.)
2. Barashkova N.K., Kuzhevskaja I.V., and Nosyreva O.V. State and climatic tendencies of temporal indices of warm season on south of Western Siberia, Optika atmosfery i okeana, 2011, V. 24, no. 2, pp. 119–123. (In Russ.)
3. Budyko M.I., Vinnikov K.Ya. Global warming, Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 1976, no. 7, pp. 16–26. (In Russ.)
4. Gandin L.S. and Kagan R.L. Statisticheskie metody interpretacii meteorologicheskih dannyh (Statistical Methods of the Interpretation of meteorological Data), Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat Publ., 1976, 359 p.
5. Girs A.A. and Kondratovich K.V. Metody dolgosrochnyh prognozov pogody (Methods of LongTerm Weather Forecasts), Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat Publ., 1978, 344 p.
6. Gruza G.V. and Ran’kova E.Ya. Fluctuation and changes of climate on the territory of Russian Federation, Izv. Ross. Akad. Nauk, Fizika atmosfery i okeana, 2003. V. 39, no. 2, pp. 66–185. (In Russ.)
7. Gruza G.V. and Ran’kova E.Ya. Evaluation of the upcoming climate change on the territory of the Russian Federation, Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 2009, no. 11, pp. 15–29. (In Russ.)
8. Dzerdzeevskii B.L. Circulating schemes of the seasons in northern hemisphere, Izv. Akad. Nauk SSSR, Ser. Geogr., 1957, no. 1, pp. 36–42. (In Russ.)
9. Katalog parametrov atmosfernoi cirkuljacii. Severnoe polusharie (Catalogue of Characteristics of Atmospheric Circulation. Northern Hemisphere), Obninsk, 1988, 420 p.
10. Kononova N.K. Klassifi katsiya tsirkulyatsionnyh mehanizmov Severnogo polusharija po B.L. Dzerdzeevskomu (Classification of Circulating Mechanisms of Northern Hemisphere according to B.L. Dzerdzeevsky), Moscow: Voentehinizdat Publ., 2009, 372 p.
11. Mirvis V.M. and Guseva I.P. Assessment of the duration changes of frost-free period of vegetation on the territory of Russia and neighbouring states in the 20st century, Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 2006, no. 1, pp. 106–113. (In Russ.)
12. Mnogomernyi statisticheskii analiz v ekonomike (Multidimensional Statistical Analysis in Economics), Tamashevich V.N., Ed., Moscow: JuNITI Publ., 1999, 598 p.
13. Monitoring obshchei tsirkuljatsii atmosfery. Severnoe polusharie. Bjulleten’ 1986–1990, 1991–1995, 1996–2000 (Monitoring of General Atmospheric Circulation. Northern Hemisphere. Newsletter 1986–1990, 1991–1995, 1996–2000.), Obninsk, 1992, 1997, 2002, pp. 112–134.
14. Ocenka makroekonomicheskih posledstvii izmeneniya klimata na territorii Rossiiskoi Federatsii na period do 2030 goda i dal’neishuyu perspektivu (Assessment of macro economical aftereffects of climate changes on the territory of the Russian Federation for the period till 2030 and further perspective), Katcov V.M., Porfi r’ev B.N., Eds., Moscow: Main Geophysical Observatory: D’ART Publ., 2011, 252 p.
15. Ped’ D.A. About the detection of the dates of stable air temperature transition over the defi nite magnitudes Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 1951, no. 10, pp. 33–39. (In Russ.)
16. Sinopticheskii bjulleten’ Severnogo polushariya. Ch. 1 (elektronnaya versiya) (Synoptic report of northern hemisphere. P. 1 (electronic version)). Moscow: Gidrometcentr Rossii Publ., 1997–2005.
17. Sirotenko O.D. and Gringof I.G. Impact evaluation of the expected climate changes on the agriculture of the Russian Federation, Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 2006, no. 8, pp. 92–101. (In Russ.)
18. Michelle D., Monahan А., and Jonathan N. Wiley. Implications of climate change on Russia. New York, Ser. Russian Political, Economic, and Security Issues, 2011.
19. Sharmina M., Anderson K., and Bows-Larkin A. Climate change regional review: Russia. Wires Climate Change, 2013, V. 4, no. 5, pp. 373–396.
20. www.meteo.ru.
21. http://www.gks.ru.
22. www.atmospheric-circulation.ru.
Review
For citations:
Barashkova N.K., Kuzhevskaya I.V., Nosyreva O.V. Climatic Characteristics of Modes of the Stable Transition of Air Temperature Through Key Bounds in the South of Western Siberia. Izvestiya Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk. Seriya Geograficheskaya. 2015;(1):87-97. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.15356/0373-2444-2015-1-87-97
Views:
1025
Email this article 
