SPECTRAL EVALUATIONS OF THE LINK BETWEEN VARIABILITY OF THE VOLGA RIVER RUNOFF AND THE NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION IN 1882–2007
https://doi.org/10.15356/0373-2444-2017-2-47-59
Abstract
Connection of variability of the annual and spring Volga River runoff with the North Atlantic Oscillation index (INAO) during 1882–2007 are studied on the base of spectral evaluations obtained by Fourier transform method. Cross-spectrum evaluations obtained reveal the opposite correlation between runoff variation and INAO for the typical cycles with 7–9 (average INAO in winter) and 12–16-year periods (average INAO in summer). In-phase link of runoff of 5-year periods of the summer INAO is revealed also for near 40-year periods for the winter INAO. Analysis of the running power spectrum carried out for the annual Volga River runoff and for the seasonal INAO showed instability of 12–16-year and 5-year fluctuations and relative stability of 7–9-year quasi-cycles.
About the Authors
V. V. Popova
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
A. G. Georgiady
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
References
1. Arpe K., Bengtsson L., Golitsyn G. S. Mokhov I. I., Semenov V. A., Sporyshev P. Analysis and modeling of the changes of Caspian Sea hydrology regime. Doklady Akademii Nauk, 1999, vol. 366, no. 2, pp. 248–252. (In Russ.).
2. Alekseevskiy N. I., Frolova N. L., Antonova M. M., Igonina M. I. Estimate of the climate change effect on water regime and runoff of Volga basin rivers. Voda: khimiya i ekologiya, 2013, no. 4, pp. 3–12. (In Russ.).
3. Babkin V. I. North Atlantic oscillation and multiyear dynamics of European river runoff, in Sovremennye problemy gidrometeorologii. Sbornik nauchnykh trudov. Vyp. 123 (Acrual problems of hydrometeorology. Book of science letters. Vol. 123). St. Petersburg: RSHMU Publ., 1999. (In Russ.). 334 p.
4. Babkin V. I. Volga runoff in the periods of weakened and strengthened cyclonic activity. Meteorologiya i gidrologiya, 1995, no. 1, pp. 94–100. (In Russ.).
5. Bardin M. Yu., Polonsky A. B. North Atlantic oscillation and synoptic variability in the European-Atlantic region in winter. Izv. Atm. Ocean. Phys., 2005, vol. 41, no. 2, pp. 127–136.
6. Vtoroi otsenochnyi doklad Rosgidrometa ob izmeneniyakh klimata i ikh posledstviyakh na territorii RF (The second estimating report of Roshydromet on climate change and its consequences in the territory of RF). Мoscow: Rosgidromet Publ., 2014. 1008 p.
7. Georgiadi A. G., Koronkevich N. I., Zaytseva I. S., Kashutina E. A., Barabanjva E. A. Climatic and anthropogenic factors in multiyear changes of Volga river runoff. Vodnoye hozyaistvo Rossii, 2013, no. 4, pp. 4–19. (in Russ.).
8. Georgiadi A. G., Koronkevich N. I., Milyukova I. P., Kashutina E. A., Barabanova E. A. Sovremennye i scenarnye izmeneniya rechnogo stoka v basseynah krupneyshih rek Rossii. Chast’ 2. Basseiny rek Volgi I Dona (Present-day and scenario change of river runoff over the largest river basins. Part 2. Basins of Volga and Don rivers). Moscow: MAKS Press Publ., 2014. 214 p. (In Russ.).
9. Zaykov B. D. Mnogoletnie kolebaniya stoka Verhnei Kamy, in Trudy po kompleksnomu izucheniyu Kaspiiskogo moray. Vyp. XIII (Letters on complex study of the Caspian Sea. Vol. XIII). Город: AN SSSR Publ., 1940. 53 p.
10. Zaitseva I. S. Perannual variations of Volga river runoff and global climate changes. Izv. Ross. Akad. Nauk, Ser. Geogr., 1996, no. 5, pp. 45–54. (In Russ.).
11. Kaisl Ch. Analiz vremennykh ryadov gidrologicheskikh dannykh (Analysis of time series of hydrological data). Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1972.
12. Kryzhov V. N. Connection between monthly mean, seasonal, and annual air temperatures in Northern Russia and winter zonal circulation indices. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol., 2003, no. 2, pp. 9–19.
13. Nikonova R.E, Bortnik V. N. Characteristic of inter-annual and seasonal variability of water balance components and level of the Caspian Sea for the period of its recent rising. Vodnye resursy, 1994, vol. 21, no. 4, pp. 410–414. (In Russ.).
14. Popova V. V., Shmakin. A. B. Regional structure of surface-air temperature flutuations in northern Eurasia in the latter half of the 20th and the early 21-stcenturies. Izv. Atm. Ocean. Phys.,. 2010, vol. 46. no. 2, pp. 144–158.
15. Rodionov S. N. Sovremennye izmeneniya klimata Kaspiyskogo morya (Recent changes of Caspian Sea climate). Мoscow: Gidrometeoizdat Publ., 1989. 123 p.
16. Rybak E. A., Rybak O. O. Spectral structure of the North Atlantic oscillation. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol., 2005, no. 3, pp. 53–60.
17. Sidorenkov N. S., Shveikina N. S. Changes in the climatic regime of the basins of the Volga and the Caspian sea in the twentieth century. Water Resour. 1996. Vol. 23, no. 4., pp. 369–374.
18. Arpe K., Bengtsson L., Golitsyn G. S., Mokhov I. I., Semenov V., Sporyshev P. Connection between Caspian Sea level variability and ENSO. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2000, vol. 27, no. 17, pp. 2693–2699.
19. Hurrell J. W. Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation. Science, 1995, vol. 269, no. 5224, pp. 676–679.
20. Hurrell J. W., Kushnir Y., Ottersen G., Visbeck M. An overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation, in The North Atlantic Oscillation: Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. American Geophysical Union, Washington, D. C., 2003, pp. 1–35. doi: 10.1029/134GM01
21. IPCC, 2013: Summary for Policymakers, in Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and NY, USA. 2013. 36 p.
22. Jones P. D., Jónsson T., Wheeler D. Extension to the North Atlantic Oscillation using early instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and South-West Iceland. Int. J. Climatol., 1997, no. 17, pp. 1433–1450.
23. Marshall J., Kushnir Y., Battisti D., Chang P., Czaja A., Dickson R., Hurrell J., McCartney M., Saravanan R., Visbeck M. North Atlantic climate variability: phenomena, impacts and mechanisms. Int. J. Climatol., 2001, vol. 21 (15), pp. 1863–1898.
24. Mokhov I.I., Smirnov D. A. El Niño-Southern Oscillation drives North Atlantic Oscillation as revealed with nonlinear techniques from climatic indices. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2006, vol. 33, pp. L03708.
25. Rogers J. C. North Atlantic storm track variability and its association to the North Atlantic Oscillation and climate variability of Northern Europe. J. Climate., 1997, vol. 10, no. 7, pp. 1635–1647.
26. Scaife A. A., Folland C. K., Alexander L. V., Moberg A., Knight J. R. European climate extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate., 2008, vol. 21, no. 1, pp. 72–83.
27. Semenov V. A., Latif M., Dommenget D., Keenlyside N. S., Strehz A., Martin T., Park W. The impact of North Atlantic-Arctic multidecadal variability on Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature. J. Climate., 2010, no. 23 (21) pp. 5668–5677.
Review
For citations:
Popova V.V., Georgiady A.G. SPECTRAL EVALUATIONS OF THE LINK BETWEEN VARIABILITY OF THE VOLGA RIVER RUNOFF AND THE NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION IN 1882–2007. Izvestiya Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk. Seriya Geograficheskaya. 2017;(2):47-59. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.15356/0373-2444-2017-2-47-59
Views:
21128
Email this article 
