Preview

Izvestiya Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk. Seriya Geograficheskaya

Advanced search

HEAT WAVES IN RUSSIA AS THE UNCOMFORTABLE FACTOR OF THE ENVIRONMENT

https://doi.org/10.7868/S0373244417040065

Abstract

Assessment of change of the number, intensity and duration of heat waves during summer (June−August) on the territory of Russia for various periods from 1951 to 2010 was carried out according to the meteorological network. Defining the criteria of extreme events depends on the choice of thresholds. In this paper the thresholds for determining the heat waves are considered as the values of 95th percentile of maximum daily temperature distribution. The choice of criterion is associated with its versatility, because a significant length of Russia from North to South does not permit to select the only critical value of temperature that determines the onset of the heat wave for the whole territory. Analysis of the results shows an increase in the number of days with abnormally high temperatures, since the 1990s. The most significant increase is seen in the European part of Russia and the Far East. Heat waves were classified by the level of discomfort. The adverse impact of this factor on human increased nowadays. The increase in heat load in the period of contemporary climate warming to the absolutely and extremely unfavorable values mainly due to the increase in the number of days with extremely high temperatures are shown. These changes are characteristic for areas located in the Northeast and in the European part of Russia.

About the Author

V. V. Vinogradova
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation
Moscow


References

1. Vinogradova V.V. Influence of climate conditions on the man in arid lands of European Russia. Izv. Akad. Nauk, Ser. Geogr., 2012, no. 2, pp. 68–81. (In Russ.).

2. Vinogradova V.V. Heat waves in the European Russia at the beginning of the 21st century.Izv. Akad. Nauk, Ser. Geogr., 2014, no. 1, pp. 47–55. (In Russ.).

3. Vtoroi otsenochnyi doklad Rosgidrometa ob izmeneniyakh klimata i ikh posledstviyakh na territorii Rossiiskoi Federatsii [The Second Estimated Report of Roshydromet about Climate Changes and Their Consequences on the Territory of the Russian Federation]. Moscow: Rosgidromet Publ., 2014. 1009 p.

4. Isaev A.A. Statistika v meteorologii i klimatologii [Statistics in Meteorology and Climatology]. Moscow: MSU Publ., 1988. 247 p.

5. Kobysheva N.V. Kosvennye raschety klimaticheskikh kharakteristik [Indirect Estimates of Climatic Characteristics]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat Publ., 1971. 190 p.

6. Kobysheva N.V. Kosvennye metody rascheta klimaticheskikh kharakteristik [Indirect Methods for Calculating the Climatic Characteristics]. Obninsk, 1976. 30 p.

7. Revich B.A. Heat waves, air quality and mortality of population of European part of Russia in the summer of 2010: results of preliminary assessment. Ekologiya Cheloveka, 2011, no. 7, pp. 3–9. (In Russ.).

8. Revich B.A., Shaposhnikov D.A., Pershagen G. New epidemiological model for assessment of the impact of extremely hot weather and air pollution on mortality (case of the Moscow heat wave of 2010).Profilakticheskaya Meditsina, 2015, vol. 18, no. 5, pp. 15–19. (In Russ.).

9. Revich B.A., Shaposhnikov D.A., Tokarevich N.A. Climate change, heat waves and cold as the risk factors for increased mortality in some Russian cities. In Trudy Mezhdunarodnoi konferentsii “Vliyanie kosmicheskoi pogody na cheloveka v kosmose i  na zemle” [Proceedings of the International Conference “The Impact of Space Weather on the Person in Space and on Earth]. Moscow: 2013, vol. 1, pp. 295–315. (In Russ.).

10. Shaposhnikov D.A., Revich B.A., Meleshko V.P., Govorkova V.A., Pavlova T.V., Varakina Zh.L. Experience in forecasting the expected extra mortality of climate warming on the example of the city of Arkhangelsk.Ekologiya Cheloveka, 2013, no. 8, pp. 17–23. (In Russ.).

11. Danmark får varme- og hedebølge. Danish Meteorological Institute. 22 July 2008. URL: www.dmi.dk. Retrieved 18 July 2013.

12. Fouillet A., Rey G., Wagner М., Laaidi К., EmpereurBissonnet K., Tertre L., Frayssinet P., Bessemoulin P., Laurent F., De Crouy-Chanel P., Jougla E., Haymon D. Has the impact of heat waves on mortality changed in France since the European heat wave of summer 2003? A study of the 2006 heat wave. Int. J. Epidemiology, 2008, vol. 37, no. 2, pp. 309–317.

13. Hsiang S., Deryugina T. Does the Environment Still Matter? Daily Temperature and Income in the United States. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series: 1. 2014.

14. John S., Cooper C. Thermal stress in the USA: Effects on violence and on employee behavior. Stress and Health, 2004, no. 21 (1), pp. 3–15.

15. Jump up “Värmebölja Klimat Kunskapsbanken SMHI”. URL: smhi.se. Retrieved 17 July 2013.

16. Meehl G.A., Tebaldi C. More Intense, More Frequent, and Longer Lasting Heat Waves in the 21st Century. Science, 2004, no. 305, pp. 994–997.

17. Robinson P. J. On the Definition of a Heat Wave. J. Appl. Meteorol. (Am. Meteorol. Society), 2001, no. 40 (4), pp. 762–775.


Review

For citations:


Vinogradova V.V. HEAT WAVES IN RUSSIA AS THE UNCOMFORTABLE FACTOR OF THE ENVIRONMENT. Izvestiya Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk. Seriya Geograficheskaya. 2017;(4):68-77. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.7868/S0373244417040065

Views: 691


ISSN 2587-5566 (Print)
ISSN 2658-6975 (Online)