COLD WAVES IN WINTER IN RUSSIA SINCE THE SECOND HALF OF THE 20th CENTURY
https://doi.org/10.7868/S2587556618030056
Abstract
The changes in the quantity, intensity and duration of cold waves in Russia in winter (December– February) for different periods from 1961 to 2010 were estimated. To determine the cold waves, the threshold values corresponding to 5 percentiles of the minimum daily temperature distribution are considered. It is established that in the winter period since 1990s on the most part of the territory of Russia there was a decrease in the number of cold waves and an increase in minimum temperatures. It was found that since 1990s in winter most of Russia’s territory was experienced a decrease in cold waves and an increase in minimum temperatures. But at the beginning of the 21st century these tendencies are weakening, and in the south of Western and Eastern Siberia a vast area appears where an increase in cold waves and a decrease in the minimum temperature are observed. Analysis of cold waves with temperatures below –30 °C showed the disappearance in the beginning of the 21st century the area with absolutely unfavorable climatic conditions in north of Yakutia, the improvement of the conditions up to favorable practically in the entire European territory of Russia and in south of the Far East.
About the Author
V. V. Vinogradova
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation
Moscow
Russian Federation
Moscow
References
1. Vtoroi otsenochnyi doklad Rosgidrometa ob izmeneniyakh klimata i ikh posledstviyakh na territorii Rossiiskoi Federatsii [The Second Estimated Report of Roshydromet about Climate Changes and their Consequences on the Territory of the Russian Federation]. Moscow: Roshydromet, 2014, 1009 p. (In Russ.).
2. Zolotokrylin A.N., Krenke A.N., Vinogradova V.V. Raionirovanie Rossii po prirodnym usloviyam zhizni naseleniya [Zoning of Russia by Natural Life Conditions]. Moscow: Geos Publ., 2012, 156 p.
3. Isaev A.A. Statistika v meteorologii i klimatologii [Statistics in Meteorology and Climatology]. Moscow: MSU, 1988, 247 p.
4. Kleshchenko L.K. Heat and cold waves on the territory of Russia. Trudy GU “VNIIGMI–MtsD”, 2010, no. 175, pp. 76–91. (In Russ.).
5. Kobysheva N.V. Kosvennye raschety klimaticheskikh kharakteristik [Indirect Estimates of Climatic Characteristics]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat Publ., 1971. 190 p.
6. Kobysheva N.V. Kosvennye metody rascheta klimaticheskikh kharakteristik [Indirect Methods for Calculating the Climatic Characteristics] Obninsk, 1976. 30 p.
7. Revich B.A., Shaposhnikov D.A. Climate change, heat and cold waves as risk factors for increased mortality Problemy Prognozirovaniya, 2012, no. 2, pp. 122–139. (In Russ.).
8. Revich B.A., Shaposhnikov D.A. Waves of cold in the southern cities of the European part of Russia and premature mortality of the population. Problemy Prognozirovaniya, 2016, no. 2, pp. 125–131. (In Russ.).
9. Revich B.A., Shaposhnikov D.A., Tokarevich N.A. Climate change, heat waves and cold as the risk factors for increased mortality in some Russian cities. Trudy Mezhdunar. Konf. Vliyanie kosmicheskoi pogody na cheloveka v kosmose i na zemle, 2013, vol. 1, pp. 295–315. (In Russ.).
10. Smirnov P.V., Alikina I. Ya. May frosts and their interconnection with cold waves in Perm Region. Geogr. Vestn., 2006, no. 1, pp. 95–98. (In Russ.).
11. Sreznevckii B.I. Waves of cold in the atmosphere. In Trudy NIUGMS. Meteorologiya [Trudy NIUGVS. Meteorology]. Moscow, 1941, Ser. 1, no. 3. 44 p. (In Russ.).
12. Khromov S.P., Mamontova L.I. Meteorologicheskii slovar’ [Meteorological Dictionary]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat Publ., 1974. 569 p.
13. Entsiklopedicheskii slovar’ Brokgausa i Efrona [Encyclopedic Dictionary of Brockhaus and Efron]. Khodskii-Tsenzura Publ., 1903, vol. XXXVIIa pp. 524–526. (In Russ.).
14. Lieut. Th., Woodruff M. Cold-Waves and their Progress. Signal Service Notes, 23.
15. Russel Т. Meteorology. 1895.
Graphical Abstract
|
|
1. Changes in area of discomfort zones (% of the territory of Russia) for the indicator number of days with air temperature below −30 °C | |
| Subject | ||
| Type | Research Instrument | |
View
(189KB)
|
Indexing metadata ▾ | |
- The changes in the characteristics of cold waves in Russia from 1961 to 2010 were estimated.
- In winter, most of the Russian territory is experiencing a decrease in cold waves and an increase in minimum temperatures.
- At the beginning of the 21st century an area of increasing cold waves and decreasing of temperature appeared in the south of Siberia.
- There is a reduction in the number of days with an air temperature below −30 °С.
- The areas with absolutely unfavorable conditions for this parameter (in the North of Yakutia) disappeared at the beginning of the 21st century.
Review
For citations:
Vinogradova V.V. COLD WAVES IN WINTER IN RUSSIA SINCE THE SECOND HALF OF THE 20th CENTURY. Izvestiya Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk. Seriya Geograficheskaya. 2018;(3):37-46. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.7868/S2587556618030056
Views:
654
Email this article 
