Preview

REGIONAL FEATURES OF THE WARM SEASON TEMPERATURE REGIME WITHIN THE CONTINENTAL PART OF THE RUSSIAN ARCTIC DURING THE LAST 500 YEARS

https://doi.org/10.7868/S258755661802005X

Abstract

Paleoclimatic reconstruction carried out using tree-ring chronology, whose data are reposited in the International Tree-Ring Data Bank (ITRDB). Chronologies are located in the immediate vicinity of the northern latitudinal timberline, where the climatic signal is most represented. Individual tree-ring chronologies are combined into five regional (Kola Peninsula, Yamal Peninsula, Taimyr Peninsula, Lena River mouth, Indigirka River mouth). In all the study regions summer temperatures during the 20th century have been higher than the average value for 500 years. However, in some areas (Kola Peninsula, the mouth of the rivers Lena and Indigirka) for 16–19th centuries there were short warming periods (20–30 years), the summer air temperatures of which can be compared with the modern. And in the Lena River mouth the summer temperature at the beginning of the 18th century were even higher than in the instrumental period. In addition, in these areas, speed of increasing temperatures in the 20th century is not higher than in pre-industrial period. Comparison of climate change with the dynamics of solar activity showed that the Maunder minimum is clearly evidenced only in the west of Eurasia (Kola Peninsula). The Dalton minimum is fixed in all investigated areas. In general, it can be said that such a climate-forming factor as solar activity was not dominant in the temperature regime of warm seasons in the north of Eurasia for the past 500 years.

About the Author

Yu. M. Kononov
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation

Yury M. Kononov 

Moscow



References

1. Anisimov O.A., Zhiltsova E.L. Climate change estimates for the regions of Russia in the 20th century and in the beginning of the 21st century based on the observational data. Russ. Meteor. Hydrol., 2012, no. 6, pp. 421–429. DOI: 10.3103/S1068373912060106.

2. Vaganov E.A., Shiyatov S.G., Khantemirov R.M., Naurzbaev M.M. The variability of summer air temperature at high latitudes in the northern hemisphere for the last 1.5 ka: A comparative analysis of the data on annual tree rings and ice cores. Dokl. Earth Sci., 1998, vol. 358, no. 5, pp. 681–684.

3. Gruza G.V., Rankova E. Ya., Kleschenko L.K., Smirnov V.D. On spatial averaging in climate monitoring problems. Probl. Ecolog. Monitoring Ecosystem Model., 2013, vol. 25, pp. 42–70. (In Russ.).

4. Gruza G.V., Rankova E. Ya., Platova T.V. Assessment of seasonal features of regional manifestations of global climate change. Probl. Ecolog. Monitoring Ecosystem Model., 2010, vol. 23, pp. 11–22. (In Russ.).

5. Semenov S.M., Gruza G.V., Ran’kova E. Ya., Popov I.O., Titkina S.N. Distribution of surface temperature over territory of Russia and neighboring countries for given level of global warming. Probl. Ecolog. Monitoring Ecosystem Model., 2013, vol. 25, pp. 29–41. (In Russ.).

6. Chernavskaya M.M. Reconstruction of the thermal conditions of the Little Ice Age in the north of Eurasia (according to dendrochronological data). Izv. Akad. Nauk SSSR, Ser. Geogr., 1985, no. 1, pp. 99–103. (In Russ.).

7. Shiyatov S.G., Hantemirov R.M., Gorlanova L.A. Millennial reconstruction of the summer temperature in the Polar Urals: tree-ring data from Siberian juniper and Siberian larch. Archeol. Ethnol. Anthropol. Euras., 2002, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 2–5. (In Russ.).

8. Ammann C.M., Naveau P. Statistical analysis of tropical explosive volcanism occurrences over the last 6 centuries. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2003, vol. 30, no. 5, 1210, DOI:10.1029/2002GL016388.

9. Bard E., Raisbeck G., Yiou F., Jouzel J. Solar irradiance during the last 1200 years based on cosmogenic nuclides, Tellus, 2000, vol. 52B, pp. 985–992.

10. Beer J., Mende W., Stellmacher R. The role of the sun in climate forcing. Quat. Sci. Rev., 2000, vol. 19, pp. 403–415.

11. Bradley R.S., Jones P.D. Little Ice Age summer temperature variations: their nature and relevance to recent global warming trends. Holocene, 1993, vol. 3, pp. 367–376.

12. Briffa K.R., Melvin T.M., Osborn T.J., Hantemirov R.M., Kirdyanov A., Mazepa V.S., Shiyatov S.G., Esper J. Reassessing the evidence for tree-growth and inferred temperature change during the Common Era in Yamalia, northwest Siberia. Quat. Sci. Rev., 2013, vol. 72, pp. 83–107.

13. Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Pachauri R.K., Reisinger A., Eds. Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC, 2007. 104 p.

14. Eddy J.A. The Maunder Minimum. The reign of Louis XIV appears to have been a time of real anomaly in the behavior of the sun. Sci., 1976, vol. 192, pp. 1189–1202.

15. Fritts H. Tree rings and climate. London: Academic Press, 1976. 579 p.

16. Hughes M., Vaganov E., Shiyatov S., Touchan R., Funkhouser G. Twentieth century summer warmth in northern Yakutia in a 600 year context. Holocene, 1999, vol. 9, pp. 603–608.

17. Jacoby G., Lovelius N., Shumilov O., Raspopov O., Karbainov J., Frank D. Long-term temperature trends and tree growth in the Taymir region of northern Siberia. Quat. Res. 2000, vol. 53 (3), pp. 312–318.

18. Kononov Yu M., Friedrich M., Boettger T. Regional Summer Temperature Reconstruction in the Khibiny Low Mountains (Kola Peninsula, NW Russia) by Means of Tree-ring Width during the Last Four Centuries. Arctic, Antarctic, Alpine Res., 2009, vol. 41, no. 4, pp. 460–468.

19. Lean J. Evolution of the sun’s spectral irradiance since the Maunder Minimum. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2000, vol. 27, pp. 2425–2428.

20. MacDonald G.M., Case R.A., Szeicz, J.M. A 538-Year Record of Climate and Treeline Dynamics from the Lower Lena River Region of Northern Siberia, Russia. Arctic, Antarctic, Alpine Res., 1998, vol. 30, no. 4, pp. 334–339.

21. McCarroll D., et al. A 1200-year multiproxy record of tree growth and summer temperature at the northern pine forest limit of Europe. Holocene, 2013, vol. 23 (4), pp. 471–484.

22. Methods of dendrochronology: applications in the environmental sciences. Cook, E., Kairiuksitis, L., Eds. Kluwer Academic Publ., Dordrecht, 1990, 394 p.

23. Robock A. Volcanic eruptions and climate. Rev. Geophys., 2000, vol. 38, no. 2, pp. 191–219.

24. Scafetta N., West B.J. Phenomenological solar signature in 400 years of reconstructed Northern Hemisphere temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2006, vol. 33, L17718, DOI: 10.1029/2006GL027142.


Graphical Abstract

1. Regional summer air temperature reconstruction and solar activity
Subject
Type Исследовательские инструменты
View (906KB)    
Indexing metadata ▾
  • Summer temperatures in Northern Eurasia over the last 500 years had a common positive trend.
  • The warming rates in different decades of the pre-instrumental period were comparable with the current rates.
  • For the last 500 years sun was not a dominant climate-forming factor for summer temperatures in Northern Eurasia.

Review

For citations:


Kononov Yu.M. REGIONAL FEATURES OF THE WARM SEASON TEMPERATURE REGIME WITHIN THE CONTINENTAL PART OF THE RUSSIAN ARCTIC DURING THE LAST 500 YEARS. Izvestiya Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk. Seriya Geograficheskaya. 2018;(2):48-58. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.7868/S258755661802005X

Views: 436


ISSN 2587-5566 (Print)
ISSN 2658-6975 (Online)